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The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis

Halupka, Lucyna and Arlt, Debora and Tolvanen, Jere and Millon, Alexandre and Bize, Pierre and Adamík, Peter and Albert, Pascal and Arendt, Wayne J. and Artemyev, Alexander V. and Baglione, Vittorio and Bańbura, Jerzy and Bańbura, Mirosława and Barba, Emilio and Barrett, Robert T. and Becker, Peter H. and Belskii, Eugen and Bolton, Mark and Bowers, E. Keith and Bried, Joël and Brouwer, Lyanne and Bukacińska, Monika and Bukaciński, Dariusz and Bulluck, Lesley and Carstens, Kate F. and Catry, Inês and Charter, Motti and Chernomorets, Anna and Covas, Rita and Czuchra, Monika and Dearborn, Donald C. and de Lope, Florentino and Di Giacomo, Adrián S. and Dombrovski, Valery C. and Drummond, Hugh and Dunn, Michael J. and Eeva, Tapio and Emmerson, Louise M. and Espmark, Yngve and Fargallo, Juan A. and Gashkov, Sergey I. and Golubova, Elena Yu. and Griesser, Michael and Harris, Michael P. and Hoover, Jeffrey P. and Jagiełło, Zuzanna and Karell, Patrik and Kloskowski, Janusz and Koenig, Walter D. and Kolunen, Heikki and Korczak-Abshire, Małgorzata and Korpimäki, Erkki and Krams, Indrikis and Krist, Miloš and Krüger, Sonja C. and Kuranov, Boris D. and Lambin, Xavier and Lombardo, Michael P. and Lyakhov, Andrey and Marzal, Alfonso and Møller, Anders P. and Neves, Verónica C. and Nielsen, Jan Tøttrup and Numerov, Alexander and Orłowska, Beata and Oro, Daniel and Öst, Markus and Phillips, Richard A. and Pietiäinen, Hannu and Polo, Vicente and Porkert, Jiří and Potti, Jaime and Pöysä, Hannu and Printemps, Thierry and Prop, Jouke and Quillfeldt, Petra and Ramos, Jaime A. and Ravussin, Pierre-Alain and Rosenfield, Robert N. and Roulin, Alexandre and Rubenstein, Dustin R. and Samusenko, Irina E. and Saunders, Denis A. and Schaub, Michael and Senar, Juan C. and Sergio, Fabrizio and Solonen, Tapio and Solovyeva, Diana V. and Stępniewski, Janusz and Thompson, Paul M. and Tobolka, Marcin and Török, János and van de Pol, Martijn and Vernooij, Louis and Visser, Marcel E. and Westneat, David F. and Wheelwright, Nathaniel T. and Wiącek, Jarosław and Wiebe, Karen L. and Wood, Andrew G. and Wuczyński, Andrzej and Wysocki, Dariusz and Zárybnická, Markéta and Margalida, Antoni and Halupka, Konrad (2023) The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 120 (19). pp. 1-8. ISSN 0027-8424

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Official URL: http://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2208389120

Abstract

Climate change affects timing of reproduction in many bird species, but few studies have investigated its influence on annual reproductive output. Here, we assess changes in the annual production of young by female breeders in 201 populations of 104 bird species (N = 745,962 clutches) covering all continents between 1970 and 2019. Overall, average offspring production has declined in recent decades, but considerable differences were found among species and populations. A total of 56.7% of populations showed a declining trend in offspring production (significant in 17.4%), whereas 43.3% exhibited an increase (significant in 10.4%). The results show that climatic changes affect offspring production through compounded effects on ecological and life history traits of species. Migratory and larger-bodied species experienced reduced offspring production with increasing temperatures during the chick-rearing period, whereas smaller-bodied, sedentary species tended to produce more offspring. Likewise, multi-brooded species showed increased breeding success with increasing temperatures, whereas rising temperatures were unrelated to repro- ductive success in single-brooded species. Our study suggests that rapid declines in size of bird populations reported by many studies from different parts of the world are driven only to a small degree by changes in the production of young.

Item Type:Article
Subjects:Q Science > QL Zoology
Divisions:Department of Antarctic Biology
ID Code:2266
Deposited By: dr Malgorzata Korczak-Abshire
Deposited On:11 May 2023 09:07
Last Modified:11 May 2023 09:07

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